基于时间序列分析的火灾发生规律研究

在时间序列分析建模思想的基础上,基于全国2007年24小时火灾起数建立时间序列模型,对火灾发生趋势进行分析,并从预防控制时间上提出相应的防控建议。     

创新人才军民融合培养体系及其构建

创新人才军民融合培养构成人才强国战略、创新驱动发展战略和军民融合发展战略的交汇点。创新人才是战略资源,军民融合为创新人才培养提供了一条全新路径。作为一项系统工程,创新人才军民融合培养包括创新人才军民融合培养主体系统、创新人才军民融合培养客体系统、创新人才军民融合培养方案系统、创新人才军民融合培养资源系统、创新人才军民融合培养制度系统、创新人才军民融合培养考评系统,在系统构建过程中需加大统筹协调、投入保障、政策倾斜、法治保障、合理使用力度,注重体系推进。     

基于RCS序列的助推段弹道导弹识别

在弹道导弹的助推段,通过低分辨率雷达得到RCS序列作为识别的重要信息。由于运动特性和电磁散射特性的差异,弹道导弹在助推段的RCS序列与其他目标相比具有可识别性,但需要对其RCS序列进行处理。基于目标识别技术,详细阐述能从RCS序列中提取出的特征参数,并通过直方图、N点截图等方法给出了直观的反映。最后,将弹道导弹助推段特征与飞机、燃料舱等典型目标进行对比,得到可以作为识别参量的特征参数,并通过类内类间距离验证了有效性。     

Callable products for an implicit time model with dependent demands

Capacity providers such as airlines and hotels have traditionally increased revenues by practicing market segmentation and revenue management, enabling them to sell the same capacity pool to different consumers at different prices. Callable products can enhance profits and improve consumers' welfare by allowing the firm to broker capacity between consumers with different willingness to pay. A consumer who buys a callable product gives the capacity provider the right to recall capacity at a prespecified recall price. This article studies callable products in the context of the model most commonly used in industry, which handles time implicitly imposing fewer restrictions on the nature of randomness compared to the Poisson arrival process favored in academia. In the implicit time model, capacity providers set booking limits to protect capacity for future high-fare demand. Our numerical study identifies conditions where callable products result in significant gains in profits.     

顾及噪声影响的GNSS高程序列预测Prophet方法

全球导航卫星系统(global navigation satellite system, GNSS)高程时间序列具有非平稳、非线性、含噪声等特点,在深入研究Prophet预测模型的基础上,针对Prophet预测模型对于趋势信号和周期信号有良好预测效果这一特性,提出一种引入经验模态分解(empirical mode decomposition, EMD)的“降噪—分解—预测”组合GNSS高程时间序列预测方法。该方法先将原始时间序列进行EMD降噪,再对降噪后的序列进行分解预测,最后重构各分量预测信号为最终预测序列。通过对实测高程数据进行研究,实验结果表明：降噪后信号的平均信噪比为10.30dB,能量百分比平均为88.75%;利用所构建的短期预测方法,GNSS高程时间序列预测结果的均方根误差分别平均提升26.41%和14.88%;平均百分比误差分别平均提升18.92%和7.91%,验证了组合预测方法的有效性及实用性。     

A dual criteria sequencing problem with earliness and tardiness penalties

We consider the problem of sequencing n jobs on a single machine, with each job having a processing time and a common due date. The common due date is assumed to be so large that all jobs can complete by the due date. It is known that there is an O(n log n)‐time algorithm for finding a schedule with minimum total earliness and tardiness. In this article, we consider finding a schedule with dual criteria. The primary goal is to minimize the total earliness and tardiness. The secondary goals are to minimize: (1) the maximum earliness and tardiness; (2) the sum of the maximum of the squares of earliness and tardiness; (3) the sum of the squares of earliness and tardiness. For the first two criteria, we show that the problems are NP‐hard and we give a fully polynomial time approximation scheme for both of them. For the last two criteria, we show that the ratio of the worst schedule versus the best schedule is no more than . © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 422–431, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10020     

盲自适应的多用户CDMA阵列接收机

研究了基于CMOE准则的空时多用户检测及其自适应实现。这是一种盲方法 ,不要求任何训练序列 ,能够抑制多址干扰 ,解决远近效应问题。进一步 ,分析了多用户CDMA阵列接收机的性能 ,并且与多用户单天线接收机、单用户阵列接收机以及单用户单天线接收机进行了比较。     

空时分组编码的译码算法

空时分组编码是最近提出的使用多个天线应用于瑞利衰落信道的编码技术。利用传输矩阵的正交性推导出其译码算法的一般表达式     

微小型固体火箭发动机点火特性试验

设计了一种适用于某微小型固体火箭发动机的点火器 ,对某微小型固体火箭发动机的点火特性进行了大量试验研究 ,引入了初始点火压强的概念 ,找出了影响点火延迟时间散布的主要规律 ,确定了能满足微小型固体火箭发动机点火性能的点火方案     

正弦波型直流无刷电动机位置伺服系统的变结构控制

在分析正弦波型直流无刷电动机数学模型的基础上,采用比例等速变速控制策略(PCV)设计控制器,应用于正弦波型直流无刷电动机位置伺服系统.仿真结果表明:与传统PI控制器比较,PCV控制策略可以明显改善系统的品质,并增强系统的鲁棒性.